# Notebook Shipments May Decline Through 2027 October 13, 2026 at 05:44 PM > TrendForce warns that rising component costs and supply chain shifts could trigger a significant drop in global notebook shipments by 2027. **TrendForce** projects global notebook shipments may decline by a low single-digit percentage in 2027. This downturn could worsen to a high-single-digit range if manufacturers pass rising production costs to consumers instead of absorbing them or adjusting specs. Production outside **China** is expected to hit 24% in 2025 before dropping to 21% in 2026 and potentially falling below 20% by 2027. Meanwhile, CPU, **DRAM**, and **SSD** costs are set to comprise 68% of the bill of materials for $900 mainstream laptops by Q3 2026. Tight DRAM supply driven by AI demand remains a concern for the industry, though **NAND flash** availability may improve in late 2027. These supply chain shifts and component price pressures will dictate whether the market sees a small or significant decline. #NotebookMarket #TrendForce #TechTrends [#SupplyChain]() [#Laptops]() ## Related news ## [Xiaomi to Launch Redmi Book 2027 Series Oct 27]() October 22, 2026 at 04:26 PM ## [Dell CEO Warns of Intensifying Global Memory Shortage]() October 21, 2026 at 09:28 AM ## [Chinese OEMs Recycle Old DRAM for New Smartphones]() October 20, 2026 at 03:53 PM ## [Dell Raises Shipping Prices for High-End Monitors]() October 18, 2026 at 05:56 PM ## [Intel Core 2000HX Raptor Lake Refresh Leaked]() October 7, 2026 at 11:12 AM